[Linux-aus] Political Recognition for Technology in Australia - was Re: Seeking feedback - EFA Citizens Not Suspects campaign
russell at coker.com.au
Fri Jun 28 11:42:44 EST 2013
On Fri, 28 Jun 2013, John Mann <john.mann at monash.edu> wrote:
> Put another way, how much do people spend on fixed line communications?
> A $30 per month phone line rental (voice, or ADSL) is $360 per year, or
> $7,200 over 20 years.
> Tap some portion of that rental fee, and you can pay off a large
> infrastructure build cost.
$360 per annum profit on a $4921 investment is a 7.3% return on investment. So
if the entire $360 was profit (IE no costs on maintaining the network,
repairing damage, renting offices, etc).
The above web site suggests that average stock market returns are less than
7.4% (usually rates like 9% or 11% are quoted). If the article in question is
correct then a 7.3% return on investment would be better than average.
But then if you count the fact that the NBN won't make a profit for some years
then it looks even worse. If the first 5 years make no profit and you just miss
out on interest returned from other investments at a rate of 6% then the
investment becomes $4921*1.06^5 == $6585.
Then a $360 per annum profit becomes a mere 5.5% return on investment.
Now a commercial organisation in the position of making a sub-par return on
investment for something that's designed to be a monopoly would immediately
look at ways of making extra money. Probably by stuff that goes against net-
neutrality. This is a real concern.
Really the NBN either needs to be run by the government or sold off at a price
significantly lower than the build cost with rules preventing anti-competitive
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